Fall 2006 / No. 69
Voluntary Industry Confidence Index
The voluntary/worksite
industry confidence index is up, that according to the mid-year Worksite/Voluntary
Industry Confidence Index survey conducted by Eastbridge.
The index for mid-year was 101.2.
The study
includes responses from individuals active in the market and
includes carriers, brokers, and vendors. Like other confidence
indices, the Voluntary Industry Confidence Index is
a single number that compares the current results to a baseline
measure. For our purposes, the December 2005 results are our
baseline. This means that in December of 2005 the Voluntary
Industry Confidence Index was 100.
Overall,
prospects for the industry remain positive. In fact, 93 percent
of those participating in the Confidence Index survey expect
sales to increase over the next 12 months. Additionally, 70
percent of respondents believe that employees will be more
enthusiastic about voluntary benefits 12 months from now. Expectations
for sales stayed pretty consistent with the December results,
but the results for employee enthusiasm were up slightly from
the 68 percent last time.
The overall
increase in the index is largely due to the more positive results
(based on means) for the industry profitability and employee
enthusiasm questions. Seventy-three (73) percent expect profitability
to increase and just two percent expect profitability to decrease
(compared to 10 percent in 2004). Most of the respondents also
believe that persistency levels and retention for voluntary
business will either improve slightly (40 percent) or remain
the same (44 percent) over the next 12 months.
Most (79
percent) respondents also believe that their company will acquire
more new groups over the next year than they did in 2005. This
number was down slightly from the December index primarily
because fewer respondents believe that new group sales will ‘increase
a lot’ (43 percent compared to 30 percent).
We, at Eastbridge,
expect sales to continue to grow at the mid-to-high, single-digit
level. Changes in the marketplace, in consumers, and in the
likelihood that most employees look to the worksite to purchase
more of their insurance products will fuel the movement to
more voluntary benefits and to more producers selling voluntary
products.
The Worksite/Voluntary
Industry Confidence Index, a Frontline Report, is published
semi-annually by Eastbridge Consulting Group, Inc. Our next
survey will be out in early December. All participants get
a free copy of the report.
|